            ASIFAH ANALYTICS
        
            REGIONAL PRESSURE INDEX: THE MIDDLE EAST & NORTH AFRICA
        
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ASIFAH ANALYTICS

Regional Pressure Index: The Middle East & North Africa

🚨

⚠️ U.S. State Department — Worldwide Caution

Following the launch of U.S. combat operations in Iran, Americans worldwide and especially in the Middle East should follow the guidance in the latest security alerts issued by the nearest U.S. embassy or consulate. They may experience travel disruptions due to periodic airspace closures. The Department of State advises Americans worldwide to exercise increased caution.

Source: travel.state.gov · Last updated: February 28, 2026

VIEW ADVISORY →

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🇩🇿 ALGERIA

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇩🇿 ALGERIA

🇩🇿 Algeria Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Algiers

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

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THREAT ASSESSMENT

🔧 Threat matrix coming soon — actor-level breakdown in development.

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇧🇭 BAHRAIN

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇧🇭 BAHRAIN

🇧🇭 Bahrain Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Manama

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Missile / Drone Strike ?

🇾🇪 Houthi Missile / Drone ?

🎯 US 5th Fleet / NAVCENT Targeting ?

🏴 Domestic Unrest / Sectarian ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇪🇬 EGYPT

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇪🇬 EGYPT

🇪🇬 Egypt Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Cairo

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran / Proxy Retaliation ?

🇾🇪 Houthi / Red Sea Disruption ?

☠️ Sinai Insurgency / ISIS ?

🚢 Suez Canal Disruption ?

🇵🇸 Gaza Spillover / Rafah ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇮🇷 IRAN

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇮🇷 IRAN

🇮🇷 Iran Stability Indicators

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Tehran

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COMBINED STRIKE PROBABILITY

⚡ Coordination: --

INCOMING THREATS:

🇮🇱 Israel Strike

🇺🇸 US Strike

OUTGOING THREATS:

🇮🇷 → 🇮🇱 Iran → Israel

🇮🇷 → 🇺🇸 Iran → US Interests

Incl. military installations, embassies, and forward-deployed assets

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇮🇶 IRAQ

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇮🇶 IRAQ

🇮🇶 Iraq Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Baghdad

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INCOMING THREATS

🇺🇸 US Strike ?

🇮🇱 Israel Strike ?

☠️ ISIS Attack ?

OUTGOING THREATS

🇮🇶 → 🇺🇸 Iraq Militia → US Interests

Incl. military installations, embassies, consulates, and forward-deployed assets

🇮🇶 → 🏔️ Iraq → Kurdistan ?

🇮🇷 → 🌊 Iran Proxy → Gulf States ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇮🇱 ISRAEL

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇮🇱 ISRAEL

🇮🇱 Israel Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Tel Aviv

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🔗 Cross-Reference Status

Iran Card: -- No boost Hezbollah Card: -- No boost

INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Direct ?

🟡 Hezbollah ?

🟢 Hamas ?

🇵🇸 West Bank / Gaza ?

🇾🇪 Houthis ?

🇸🇾 Syria-Based ?

⚡ Combined Incoming ?

-- --

🇮🇱 OUTGOING OPERATIONS

🇮🇱 → 🇱🇧 vs Lebanon

🇮🇱 → 🇵🇸 vs Gaza

🇮🇱 → 🇮🇷 vs Iran

🇮🇱 → 🇸🇾 vs Syria

🇮🇱 → 🏘️ vs West Bank

🇮🇱 → 🇾🇪 vs Houthis

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇯🇴 JORDAN

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇯🇴 JORDAN

🇯🇴 Jordan Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Amman

Loading weather data...

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran / Militia Strike

🇸🇾 Syria Border / ISIS

🇵🇸 Palestinian Unrest

🎯 US Base Targeting

🛡️ DEFENSIVE POSTURE

🛡️ Coalition Air Defense ?

🚧 Border Operations ?

⚡ Air defense elevated due to Iran-Israel tensions

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇰🇼 KUWAIT

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇰🇼 KUWAIT

🇰🇼 Kuwait Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Kuwait City

Loading weather data...

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Missile / Drone Strike ?

🇮🇶 Iraq Militia / PMF Strike ?

🎯 US Base Targeting (Arifjan / Ali Al Salem) ?

🏛️ US Embassy Closure / Evacuation ?

🇾🇪 Houthi Long-Range Strike ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇱🇧 LEBANON

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇱🇧 LEBANON

🇱🇧 Lebanon Stability Indicators

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Beirut

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

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COMBINED STRIKE PROBABILITY

⚡ Coordination: --

INCOMING THREATS:

🇮🇱 Israel Strike

🇺🇸 US Strike

OUTGOING THREATS:

🇱🇧 → 🇮🇱 HIZBALLAH → Israel

🇱🇧 → 🇺🇸 HIZBALLAH → US Interests

Incl. military installations, embassies, and forward-deployed assets

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇱🇾 LIBYA

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇱🇾 LIBYA

🇱🇾 Libya Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Tripoli

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

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THREAT ASSESSMENT

🔧 Threat matrix coming soon — actor-level breakdown in development.

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇲🇦 MOROCCO

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇲🇦 MOROCCO

🇲🇦 Morocco Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Rabat

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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THREAT ASSESSMENT

🔧 Threat matrix coming soon — actor-level breakdown in development.

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇴🇲 OMAN

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇴🇲 OMAN

🇴🇲 Oman Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

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Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Muscat

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Strait of Hormuz Closure ?

🇮🇷 Iran Military Spillover ?

🚢 Gulf of Oman Maritime Threat ?

🇾🇪 Yemen Border / Houthi Spillover ?

🕊️ MEDIATION ROLE

🕊️ Active Mediation Channel ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇶🇦 QATAR

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

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🇶🇦 QATAR

🇶🇦 Qatar Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Doha

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Missile Strike (Al Udeid) ?

🎯 CENTCOM Forward HQ Targeting ?

🇾🇪 Houthi Missile / Drone ?

✈️ Qatar Airways / Airspace Disruption ?

🌊 LNG Export Disruption ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇸🇦 SAUDI ARABIA

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇸🇦 SAUDI ARABIA

🇸🇦 Saudi Arabia Stability Index 🛢️ View Oil + OPEC Commodity Exposure →

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Riyadh

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Missile / Drone Strike ?

🇾🇪 Houthi Missile / Drone Attack ?

🛢️ Aramco / Oil Infrastructure ?

🎯 US Base Targeting (Prince Sultan) ?

🇮🇶 Iraq Militia Cross-Border ?

🏴 Eastern Province Unrest ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇸🇾 SYRIA

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇸🇾 SYRIA

🇸🇾 Syria Stability Indicators

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Damascus

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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COMBINED STRIKE PROBABILITY

⚡ Coordination: --

INCOMING THREATS:

🇮🇱 Israel Strike

🇺🇸 US Strike

OUTGOING THREATS:

🇸🇾 → 🇮🇱 SYRIA → Israel

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇹🇳 TUNISIA

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇹🇳 TUNISIA

🇹🇳 Tunisia Stability Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Tunis

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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THREAT ASSESSMENT

🔧 Threat matrix coming soon — actor-level breakdown in development.

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇦🇪 UAE

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇦🇪 UNITED ARAB EMIRATES

🇦🇪 UAE Stability Index 🛢️ View Fujairah + OPEC Commodity Exposure →

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Abu Dhabi

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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INCOMING THREATS

🇮🇷 Iran Missile / Drone Strike ?

🇾🇪 Houthi Missile / Drone Attack ?

🎯 Al Dhafra Air Base Targeting ?

🚢 Fujairah Port / Shipping Disruption ?

🏙️ Dubai / Abu Dhabi Civilian Targeting ?

✈️ Emirates / Etihad Flight Disruption ?

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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🇾🇪 YEMEN

Pressure Index

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

Click "Expand" to update data and view full analysis

🇾🇪 YEMEN

🇾🇪 Yemen Stability Indicators

🏛️ Loading State Dept travel advisory...

24 Hours 48 Hours 7 Days 30 Days

Scanning...

Pressure Index

Signals: 🌐 GDELT 📰 RSS 🦋 Bluesky ✈️ Telegram 💬 Reddit

🌤️ 7-Day Forecast — Sanaa

Loading weather data...

Projected Timeline

Awaiting scan...

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COMBINED STRIKE PROBABILITY

⚡ Coordination: --

INCOMING THREATS:

🇮🇱 Israel Strike

🇺🇸 US Strike

OUTGOING THREATS:

🇾🇪 → 🇮🇱 YEMEN → Israel

🎖️ Military Posture — Scan OSINT to load MIL TRACKER →

Recent Headlines:

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Active NOTAMs - Middle East

Flight Disruptions Monitor

All Routes Normal

No major flight disruptions detected in target regions

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About

ASIFAH ANALYTICS · MIDDLE EAST DASHBOARD

asifah-backend.onrender.com · Updates every 12 hours · Force refresh via Scan OSINT

Data Sources:

OSINT aggregation from GDELT (en/he/ar/fa), NewsAPI, Brave Search, RSS, Telegram, Bluesky, Reddit · Polymarket prediction markets · Open-Meteo weather · FAA NOTAMs · U.S. State Department travel advisories · IOM DTM humanitarian data · ReliefWeb reports.

Methodology:

Source-weighted OSINT aggregation with time-decay scoring, keyword severity multipliers across English/Arabic/Hebrew/Farsi, de-escalation detection, diplomatic-track modifiers, and momentum analysis.

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⚠️ DISCLAIMER: This dashboard is an analytical tool for educational and research purposes only. Probabilities are based on open-source news aggregation and simple keyword analysis. This tool does not represent official U.S. government assessments or policy positions. Users should consult official intelligence sources for operational decision-making.

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