Mission Statement

Asifah Analytics — Est. 2025

In brief: Asifah Analytics uses open-source intelligence to quantify conflict risk and track instability — transparently, accessibly, and without institutional bias.

Who We Are

Asifah Analytics uses open-source intelligence to quantify conflict risk and track instability.

We aggregate and structure publicly available data across security, economic, governance, regional, and humanitarian indicators to estimate probabilities, monitor escalation drivers, and document human impact. Our platform provides transparent, source-linked insights to support informed discussion and decision-making by researchers, analysts, and engaged citizens in open environments.

What We Track

Asifah Analytics currently monitors the following regions and indicators:

Middle East: Iran, Lebanon, Syria, Yemen, Jordan, and Israel — with coverage of military posture, political stability, economic pressure, and humanitarian conditions
Conflict Probability Modeling: Weighted algorithmic assessments drawing on news volume, escalation language, multilingual OSINT feeds, and prediction market signals
Human Rights Monitoring: Integration of HRANA and related feeds to document civilian impact alongside strategic indicators
Multilingual Coverage: Data aggregated across English, Hebrew, Arabic, and Farsi sources to reduce single-language bias

Our Principles

Open Source: Every data point is drawn from publicly available sources. We link our sources so you can verify for yourself.
Transparent Methodology: Our probability models and weighting logic are documented. We do not hide how we reach our conclusions.
No Institutional Bias: Asifah Analytics is independently developed and not affiliated with any government, military, or advocacy organization.
Not for Operational Use: Our assessments are designed to support research and informed discussion — not to substitute for classified intelligence or professional security analysis.

A Note on Limitations

Open-source intelligence has real limits. We do not have access to classified reporting, signals intelligence, or closed diplomatic channels. Our probability estimates reflect patterns in public data — they are informed analytical judgments, not predictions. We present them with that context and encourage users to engage critically.

How It Works

A detailed breakdown of our data sources, aggregation pipeline, weighting methodology, and scoring logic is under development. This section will walk through how raw OSINT feeds become the stability indicators and conflict probability scores you see on the dashboard.

View Methodology → (coming soon)

Contact

Questions, feedback, or collaboration inquiries are welcome.

Asifah Analytics
Email: asifahanalytics@gmail.com

← Back to Dashboard